This report aims to update and extend that report by. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. Environmental protection agency 1200 pennsylvania avenue, nw washington, dc 20460. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Strategies and trends for europe by the european commission at the request of an interinstitutional task force, with full respect for the intellectual independence of ceps. Cia analysts believe that the re can only be three development paradigms. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Florence gaub is the deputy director of the european union institute for security studies euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030.
Past global trends works, correctly foresaw the direction of the vectors. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The first one the reverse scenario states that by 2030 the world will return to the unstable times of the beginning of 20 th, a century that was yet to witness the establishment of the us primacy on the. The 3rs of preparing your organization for the future, available on this site and via amazon. Combating the worst effects of this will require urgent action, informed by the clearest possible understanding of where we are now and where we might go. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew.
Although reading trends 2030 is helpful, risks 2035 can be read alone. Between 201112 and 201718, the share of spending devoted to servicing central government debt is forecast to rise from 7. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. In 2015, the european strategy and policy analysis system espas launched its report global trends to 2030. Attempts to predict the global trends in the world is one of the key elements of washington s policy, since if successful these attempts will not simply allow the white house to a djust its foreign policy accordingly, but take a number of steps to ensure the us dominance in the world not surprisingly, the white house ordered the us intelligence. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Publications european union institute for security studies. The fiveyear periods described in this report represent midyear to midyear time spans for example, from july 1, 2030, to june 30, 2035 which are standard units used in demography and by organizations including the united nations population division. Flagship publications include the global trends report 20, the global trends fieldbook and ready. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. This report aims to update and extend that report by including developments that have occurred in european and global geopolitics since then, and will project developments out to 2035. Without new policies, we risk irreversibly damaging the environment and the natural resource.
Longterm global demographic trends central intelligence agency. A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class. Cias analysis of the international trends to 2030 new. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work.
Global anthropogenic nonco greenhouse gas emissions. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Alternative worlds national intelligence council dec 2012 global trends 2030. See our document the fuji declaration by ervin laszlos teams to see a completely opposite view of the future. Trends since 2015 in 2015, the european strategy and policy analysis system espas launched its report global trends to 2030. However, interest rates remain sensitive to the reversal of quantitative easing and reduced investor con. Espas process has so far looked specifically at major global rand europe report for espas, europes societal challenges. His intellectual gifts and managerial abilities were critical to the production of this report and everyone involved owes him a huge debt of gratitude. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles.
See cia global trends 2030 for what the worlds true leaders want versus the fuji declaration related to ervin laszlos networks, which is about a positive future. But chinas power has consistently increased faster than expected. Thank you we really enjoyed your presentation and your personal comments to us. Although the 2016 version hasnt been made public yet, the principle author of global trends 2030 wrote a very detailed update to his previous work called global risks 2035. It all depends on how events develop over the next decade, according to a new report, global trends 2030 pdf, prepared by the national. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series. Slideshare uses cookies to improve functionality and performance, and to provide you with relevant advertising. Trends and strategies for europe technical report pdf available november 20 with 776 reads how we measure reads. National intelligence councils recently released 140 page report global trends 2030, which reflects the consensus judgments of all 16 u.
As was the case with our previous looks at global trends that will shape the future, the process and spinoff benefits of preparing global trends 2025 were as important as the final product. The oecd environmental outlook to 2030 provides analyses of economic and environmental trends to 2030, and simulations of policy actions to address the key challenges. Publications as part of its mission to find a common security culture for the eu, to help develop and project the cfsp, and to enrich europes strategic debate, the institute regularly releases publications on the topics and regions at the core of the unions work. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra. Our opensource library houses the thousands of documents, periodicals, maps and reports released to the public. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030. Key sources of information on climate change are synthesised by the successive reports of the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc created by the united nations and the world meteorological organization in 1988. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. In october 2000, the draft report was discussed with outside experts. The decade from 2030 will see a remarkable and dangerous confluence of world events and trends a spike on the graph paper of life that will influence humanity for good or ill as never before. Without new policies, we risk irreversibly damaging the environment and the natural resource base needed to support economic growth and wellbeing. Global demographic trends will have farreaching consequences for the.
The economic and technological revolution the european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action. The last report, which was released in 2012, was global trends 2030. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. This study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power relations, new areas of state competition, politics of the information age and ecological threats. Currently, president obama uses global trends 2030, which will be used for the remainder of his presidency. Many people contributed to the preparation of global trends 2025, but no one contributed more than did mathew burrows.
Dec 10, 2012 the national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. Leadership in a postwestern world live stream watch leaders in a twoday conference examine the future direction of the world december 11, 2012. So, with now six installments of the global trends series 20102035 available, how good has the cia been at predicting the changes in the world 15 to 20 years out from economics to geopolitical events. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. China took the lead in 2017 with a market for trading the right to emit a tonne of co2, setting the world on a path towards a single carbon price and a powerful incentive to ditch fossil fuels, predicts jane burston, head of climate and environment at the uks national physical laboratory. In addition to overseeing the euiss research activities, florence works on strategic foresight, geopolitics as well as the middle east and north africa. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato.
Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Global migration trends and their implications for the united states carnegie endowment for international peace, washington, dc. Recent research into climate trends warn that severe global warming associated with carbon release from the amazon rainforests and from methane hydrates in the arctic is possible by 2030, with perhaps catastrophic effects by 2050. A comprehensive reading of the four reports leaves a strong impression that we tend toward underestimation of the rates of change. The report acted as a pilot project setting the scene for further investigation and evaluation of global trends in 2030 in the field of i international relations and governance, ii society, and iii macroeconomic trends. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals. Global trends to 2035 5 executive summary section 1. Jul 06, 2015 currently, president obama uses global trends 2030, which will be used for the remainder of his presidency. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes.
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